This is my work website.  I post studies, presentations, analyses, and reference material on this site.  If you are looking for the Marie Maxey Foundation website, you can find it here.

See my summary of the 2018 World Bank Development Report  "Learning To Realize Education's  Promise"

US Communities Have a Stake in What Happens in the Northern Triangle:  Here's Why

Unaccompanied Alien Children arrivals in the Washington DC Metropolitan Area from 2014 - 2017 amounted to almost 20,000 children out of a total of 209,659 that came to the US  during that period.  This means that one in ten UACs arriving in the US chose Washington DC metro area as their destination.  Education cost data from this geographic area indicates that approximately $250 million per year was needed to keep these children in school.

Using the data from the Office of Refugee Resettlement, the following table was created showing to which counties and cities, UACs have been sent during FY 2014 - FY2017.  Multiplying the cost per student for those localities by the number of UACs gives a rough estimate of education costs.  Using the actual cost per student (characterized as "low") indicated that over $250,000,000 in additional education costs were incurred by these US communities each year.

The graph below illustrates the change in ethnic diversity of students in Fairfax County, Viriginia school system.  This points to a rapidly growing Hispanic population.  Education costs are increasing and the county faces hard choices in either cutting services or increasing taxes. 

 

A presentation I made to the Elliot School of International Affairs at George Washington University highlighted the potential generational strife that could be encountered as different tax strategies are proposed to cover funding shortfalls for education.   Fairfax County proposed a tax on meals that would disproportionately impact younger citizens while an increase in real estate taxes would hit the retired citizens on fixed incomes who have already seen their home's value increase causing a greater tax burden for them.  See my presentation at GWU Foreign Affairs Budget & Central America.

Note: The cost of Honduran education per child was calculated by dividing the Honduran education budget by the  number of children in public schools in Honduras.  The 2017 budget was approved at $1.1 billion and there were 1.7 million students in public schools for a per student cost of $647. 

Sources:

Ministry of Education 

Ministry of Finance

GOH 2018 Budget

Iraq 2008 -2009 - Stabilization Efforts - North Babil Embedded Provincial Reconstruction Team

Northern Triangle Origin Residents in the US

Changing demographics and migration patterns are creating new market segments in the US and Latin America.   Linking market initiatives to these populations can promote economic growth and lessen the triggers of out migration.  These initiatives can also create American jobs as they support the continued growth of "Third Wave" coffee retailers across the US.

For an example of this approach see my LinkedIn article on Honduran coffee marketing.

Michael Maxey

LinkedIn Profile

                                                                                                                                         

Guest Worker Housing Program: The Key to Unlocking Development Financing in Central America's Northern Triangle

Read my article in LinkedIn Pulse:

The Mystery of Capital - Unlocking Investment Capital in Central America

via a Guest Worker Housing Program

Coffee is cultivated in over 50 countries, has an annual value of $170 billion, is produced primarily by smallholder farmers and generates $23 billion in annual export earnings.[1]  More than 100 million people gain at least part of their livelihood from coffee and 25 million farmers grow the crop worldwide. As the second most traded global commodity, coffee significantly impacts rural family purchasing power.  Despite the global value of coffee and the livelihood potential it represents to millions, many coffee areas suffer food insecurity and widespread poverty.  Current research indicates changing world climate will decrease coffee yield and quality and further impoverish these rural populations.  It is critical that action to be taken to (1) assess and identify coffee areas at risk of significant negative impacts, (2) inform policy makers and stakeholders of the scope and seriousness of the situation, and (3) design and implement effective mitigation and adaptation programs.

 

[1] World coffee trade (1963 – 2013): A review of the markets, challenges and opportunities facing the sector.  International Coffee Council, 112th Session 3 – 7 March 2014 London, United Kingdom Note: Coffee value calculated based on 142 million 60kg bags per year converted to roasted coffee by dividing by 1.19 with average cost per cup estimated at $2 in traditional markets and $1.50 per cup in exporting and emerging markets. http://www.ico.org/news/icc-111-5-r1e-world-coffee-outlook.pdf

Finding ways to adapt to these changes and the social and economic impacts they will cause should be an important aspect of our overall climate adaptation strategies.  Changes in coffee areas that cause out migration can affect US communities directly.  Finding ways to help Central American communities adapt to climate change is in US foreign policy interests.  Out migration carries a social and economic cost for both Central America and the United States.

Central America

Coffee leaf rust disease in Central America is causing job loss now in chronically poor and food insecure areas now and the threat is for a greater increase over the next two years.  The potential impact could be an increase in out migration from this region to the US.

Virginia

International issues sometimes directly affect local communities in the US.  Immigration is an example of the need to address the triggers of out migration in key geographic regions such as Central America.  We need to understand what conditions contribute to significant changes in demographics and plan how we will address these changes.

Yemen

Social and economic development in Yemen is critically important to addressing stability and peace in the Middle East, and agriculture, employing over 50% of the national work force, is critical.  Yemen's unique Arabica coffee could provide an opportunity for sustainable development and a better future. 

Follow these  links to a water management "think piece" regarding Yemen and to a "history" of traditional water management techniques in Yemen.

Mississippi 
"The past is not dead, it's not even past."
William Faulkner - "Requiem for a Nun"
 

Historical impact of slavery is an interesting topic of discussion.  The book "Why Nations Fail" by Daron Acemoglu and James Robinson posited that extractive institutions such as slavery created cultural norms that had historical impacts.  The map below presents information from the 1860 US Census showing slave population in Mississippi.  The higher the population of slaves the darker the map on the left.  This is compared to poverty levels as measured by the 2010 Census.  The darker green areas have the higher poverty levels.

“Data is the new need that every business and every industry has, being able to make sense out of data ... whether you’re a history major or a finance major, you need to have experience reading complex data and understanding how to make good decisions.”  
 
Washington Post
August 12, 2013

2019 by Maxey Information Services

Mississippi Slave Population 1860.jpg